Sunday, February 28, 2010

Big 12 - Facts, Stats, and Attempted Analysis 2010

I'm going to finally start posting all the info on some of the NCAA-worthy teams from the Big 12, ACC, Big East, Big Ten, and then a Pot-Luck focusing on A-10, SEC, and the Mountain West.

Kansas,
Sag #1, kenpom offense #3, kenpom defense #5, 1st in conference at 13-1, 27-2
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Temple, Kansas St, Texas
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Tennessee, Oklahoma St
3P% - 40.0%, Reb. Margin = +6.9, FT 69.2%, FG 48.8%, Opp. FG 37.6% –
Led by Sherron Collins, a 5'11" Senior, who averages 15.3 ppg, 4.3 assists, and 37.8% for 3. They also get balanced scoring from Xavier Henry (6'6" freshman - 14ppg, 40% for 3-pointers), Marcus Morris (6'8" sophomore 12.6ppg, 6.2 rebs), and Cole Adrich (6'11" junior - 11.4ppg, 10.0 rebs, 3.7 blocks). They are serious contenders obviously, being ranked in the top 5 all year long.

Kansas St, Sag #6, kenpom offense #18, kenpom defense #16, 2nd in conference at 11-3, 24-4
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Dayton, Xavier, UNLV, Texas, Baylor, Missouri
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Ole Miss, Missouri, Ok St, Kansas
3P% - 36.0%, Reb. Margin = +5.4 , FT 66.0%, FG 45.9%, Opp. FG 41.3% –
Led by a great backcourt with Jacob Pullen (6'0" junior - 18.5 ppg, 3.8 assists, 39.2% 3p) and Denis Clemente (6'1" senior - 15.8ppg, 4.1 assists, but 33.7% for-3pointers). The main players getting minutes are all under 6'8", but as a team they tend to still hold a rebounding edge. They have had an unexpectedly great season but the numbers don't look like they support them going to the Final Four.

Baylor, Sag #12, kenpom offense #8, kenpom defense #46, 2nd in conference at 9-5, 22-6
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Xavier, Arizona St, Arkansas, Texas, Texas A&M (split)
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Alabama, Colorado, Kansas, K St
3P% - 39.5%, Reb. Margin = +7.2, FT 71.6%, FG 48.2%, Opp. FG 37.7% –
Three guys lead the way - a point guard (Tweety Carter - 5'11" senior - 15.7 ppg, 6.0assists, 39.4% 3p%), a swingman (LaceDarius Dunn - 6'4" junior -19.1 ppg, 4.8 rebs, 42.2% 3p%); and a center (Ekpe Udoh - 6'10" junior - 13.5ppg, 10.1 rebs, 4.4 blocks). This team has solid numbers across the board. Their defense looks solid, but the kenpom defense number is a bit low for some reason. Nonetheless, I like their personnel and how the numbers break down.

Missouri, Sag #15, kenpom offense #37, kenpom defense #3, 3rd in conference at 9-5, 21-8
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Illinois, Kansas St (split), Texas,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Richmond, Vanderbilt, Oral Roberts (by one!), Oklahoma, Kansas
3P% - 38.6%, Reb. Margin = -1.8 , FT 72.7%, FG44.8%, Opp. FG 40.1% –
I'm not wasting my time with this team... 6 players average between 8 and 14 ppg, but they don't rebound well. Interestingly though, they have three shooters who shoot better than 38% from 3-point land.

Texas A&M, Sag #22, kenpom offense #40, kenpom defense #29, 3rd in conference at 9-5, 20-8
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Clemson, Minnesota, Baylor (split), Texas (split)
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: West Virginia, New Mexico, Washington, Kansas St, Kansas
3P% - 32.6%, Reb. Margin = +2.5 , FT 65.4%, FG 43.8%, Opp. FG 40.8% –
Led by Donald Sloan (6'3" senior - 18.1 ppg, 36.5% 3p%) and Bryan Davis (6'9" senior - 10.0ppg, 8.0rebs, 1.8 blocks).

Oklahoma St, Sag #32, kenpom offense #29, kenpom defense #61, 6th in conference at 8-6, 20-8
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Utah, Kansas ST, Kansas
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Tulsa, Rhode Island, Oklahoma, Texas (twice)
3P% - 35.6%, Reb. Margin = +2.7 , FT 71.5%, FG 45.2%, Opp. FG 41.3% –
Their top three 3-point shooters are also the top 3 scorers (James Anderson - 22.6ppg, 6.1 rebs, 36.6% 3P%, Obi Muonelo - 13.5 ppg, 5.2 rebs, 44.1% 3p%, Keiton Page - 10.8ppg, 38% 3p%). No real PG. That spells trouble, as does the defensive issues.

Texas, Sag #10, kenpom offense #32, kenpom defense #12, 6th in conference at 8-6, 22-7
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Iowa, Pitt, USC, UNC, Mich St,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Kansas St, UConn, Oklahoma, A&M
3P% - 35.2%, Reb. Margin = +6.6 , FT 61.9%, FG 46.9%, Opp. FG 39.0% –
Major injury issue...and this team can't shoot Free throws... this team has no chance now! They still do have Damion James (6'7" senior - 17.5 ppg, 10.3rebs, 41.7% 3p%)

2 comments:

Mighty Mike said...

I still can't figure out why the Big 12 is so highly rated. I try and try and I still don't get it

Gutsy Goldberg said...

I think only Kansas, K-State, and Baylor look good... maybe they benefit from all of Texas' early season wins.