Skynet is back! A wise machine, Agent Smith, once said in the Matrix: “Never send a Human to do a machine’s job.” These inspiring words ring true with the BCS. The time has now come to achieve the BCS purpose – by providing OBJECTIVE rankings. I realize this may be counter to my rooting interests, but it is the only fair way to determine two teams.
So, to be clear, here’s how I devise the standings each week:
1) I take the top 20 of the BCS standings.
2) I input each of the top 20's computer standings from each of 4 computer rankings (Sagarin, Anderson, Colley-Matrix, Wolfe; the other two aren't included because they input human rankings to start and are therefore biased).
3) I let excel calculate the standard deviation for each computer ranking distribution of the top 20. Then, Excel normalizes the distribution, and fits EACH computer ranking onto a 1-20 scale.
4) Finally, the normalized-computer averages are determined (i.e. if Florida is ranked 5.76, 2.55, 2.21, 5.77 in 4 of the polls, which is an average of 4.07, which equals their SCS ranking. This means that according to the polls, they are approximately the 4th-best team in the country).
Most underrated by the humans: Ok St (wow! everyone hates them, but the computer love them.); Houston (undefeated and a ridiculous 12th in the computers, but just 22nd and 20th in the human polls); Va. Tech, Auburn, Kansas St
Most overrated by the humans: Wisconsin, Stanford, Nebraska, W. Va., Michigan St
2011 Skynet Rankings - Week of 10/19
2011 | SCS | BCS | Sched Rnk | Harris | USA Today | |
1 | OK St | 1.07 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Alabama | 1.27 | 2 | 36 | 2 | 3 |
3 | LSU | 2.06 | 1 | 56 | 1 | 2 |
4 | Oklahoma | 2.75 | 3 | 20 | 3 | 1 |
5 | Clemso | 2.77 | 7 | 77 | 8 | 8 |
6 | boise st | 4.18 | 5 | 42 | 5 | 7 |
7 | Kansas St | 5.56 | 11 | 67 | 12 | 16 |
8 | wisconsin | 10.62 | 6 | 129 | 4 | 4 |
9 | Arkansas | 11.55 | 9 | 61 | 10 | 10 |
10 | Stanford | 11.61 | 8 | 112 | 7 | 5 |
11 | Va tech | 12.76 | 12 | 37 | 16 | 14 |
12 | Houston | 13.57 | 19 | 125 | 22 | 20 |
13 | So. Car | 13.86 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 12 |
14 | Oregon | 14.48 | 10 | 41 | 9 | 8 |
15 | Nebraska | 14.76 | 13 | 40 | 11 | 11 |
16 | Auburn | 15.24 | 20 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
17 | Michigan | 15.56 | 18 | 52 | 17 | 17 |
18 | Texas A&M | 16.10 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 18 |
19 | W. Va. | 17.32 | 15 | 78 | 14 | 14 |
20 | Mich St. | 18.18 | 16 | 88 | 15 | 13 |
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