Big East and Pot Luck - Facts, Stats, and Attempted Analysis 2010

Big East, and Pot Luck!

The Big East - Syracuse is an elite team. 'Nova is a great team, but has been struggling at the end here. People should also keep an eye on West Virginia and Georgetown.

Syracuse, Sag #2, kenpom offense #8, kenpom defense #15, 1st in conference at 15-2, 28-2
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: UNC, Cornell, Florida, W. Virginia, Georgetown (twice), Villanova
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Pitt, Louisville(in both games the Orange had a good number of turnovers and rebounding was about even, and most importantly, the Orange only shot like 41 or 42% in each of those games)
3P% - 38.3%, Reb. Margin = +4.1, FT 67.4%, FG 51.8%, Opp. FG 39.1% –
PF Wesley Johnson leads the way (15.6ppg, 1.9blocks, 8.6reb, 38% 3p%, 49% FG%), Rautins is the PG (11.9ppg, 4.8assists, 2.6turnovers, 41% 3p%), and 3 other forwards pick up the rest of the balanced scoring (6'7", 6'9", and 6'9"). It's a really big team, w/ another bench player that shoots 46% from 3-point land. It's a superior team, that plays great defense and has all the credentials to go all way.

Villanova, Sag #7, kenpom offense #5, kenpom defense #59, 2nd in conference at 13-4, 24-5
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Dayton, Maryland, Marquette, Georgetown (split), W. Virginia,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Temple, Georgetown, UConn, Pitt, Syracuse
3P% - 37.5%, Reb. Margin = +5.4 , FT 75.4%, FG 46.5%, Opp. FG 40.5% –
Scottie Reynolds leads the way (6'2" senior - 18.9ppg, 42% 3p%, 3.4 assists), Corey Fisher (6'1" junior - 13.7ppg, 4 assists, 38% 3p%), and big man Pena (6'8" junior - 11.1 ppg, 7.4rebs, 57% FG%). Defense isn't great... but they are a solid team, for sure.

West Virginia, Sag #6, kenpom offense #6, kenpom defense #33, 3rd in conference at 12-5, 23-6
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Marquette, Ohio St, Pitt (split), Georgetown,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Purdue (w/ Hummel), Notre Dame, Syracuse, Nova, Pitt, UConn
3P% - 34.8%, Reb. Margin = +6.8, FT 69.6%, FG 43.9%, Opp. FG 43.1% –
They have a powerful front line - Da'Sean Butler (6'7" senior - 17.1ppg, 6.1rebs, 35% 3p%), Jones (6'8" sophomore -13.7ppg, 7.4rebs, 41% 3p%), and Ebanks (6'9" sophomore - 12.ppg, 8.4rebs). This team is dangerous... against Ohio St they were down 15 and won by like 20. Scary.

Pitt, Sag #24, kenpom offense #41, kenpom defense #36, 3rd in conference at 12-5, 23-7
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Syracuse, UConn, W. Virginia (split), Villanova
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Texas, Indiana!, Seton Hall, So. Florida, Notre Dame
3P% - 34.3%, Reb. Margin = +4.5 , FT 69.3%, FG44.6%, Opp. FG 39.8% –
Maclolm Delaney (20.4ppg, 4.1 assists, 30.3% 3p% ! (he takes 6 per game!); Dorenzo Hudson (14.2ppg, 3.6 rebs, 28.7% 3p% ! (he takes 3.6 per game!);
Ashton Gibbs leads the team (6''2" sophmore -16.3 ppg, 39.9% 3p%), McGhee is the big man (6'10" junior - 7.3ppg, 7rebs, 1.8 blocks), and Wanamaker the PG (6'4" junior - 12ppg, 4.7assists, 5.8rebs).

Marquette, Sag #21, kenpom offense #15, kenpom defense #40, 5th in conference at 11-6, 20-9
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Xavier, Georgetown, UConn
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Florida St, NC St, Wisconsin, W. Virginia, Nova (twice), DePaul!,
3P% - 40.8%, Reb. Margin = +0.4 , FT 74.3%, FG 45.5%, Opp. FG 44.3% –
After losing three guards last year to graduation and/or the NBA, I thought Marquette would be bad. I was wrong. They have a solid team with Lazar Hayward (6'6" senior -18ppg, 8 rebs), Butler (6'6" junior - 15.2ppg, 6.5 rebs,), and Johnson-Odom (6'2" sophomore -13ppg, 48.9% 3p% ! wow!), and Acker (5'8" senior - 8.6ppg, 47.7% 3p%! wow!). They don't rebound well or play defense, but they will shoot the lights out!

Louisville, Sag #35, kenpom offense #19, kenpom defense #81, 6th in conference at 10-7, 19-11
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: UConn (twice), Syracuse, Notre Dame
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: UNLV, Charlotte, W. Carolina, Kentucky, Seton Hall, St. John's
3P% - 33.6%, Reb. Margin = +2.2 , FT 70.7%, FG 44.7%, Opp. FG 43.0% –
Samuels (6'9" sophomore -15.5ppg, 7.1 rebs,) and Sosa (6'2" senior - 12.9ppg, 4.4assists, 37.4% 3p%) lead this team that doesn't play defense, but did beat Syracuse.

Georgetown, Sag #18, kenpom offense #22, kenpom defense #47, 7th in conference at 9-8, 19-9
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Temple, Butler, UConn, Pitt, Duke, Nova,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Old Dominion, Marquette, So. Florida, Rutgers!, Notre Dame
3P% - 39.4%, Reb. Margin = +2.1 , FT 70.4%, FG 49.9%, Opp. FG 41.5% –
They've lost a LOT of games to end the season (4 out of 5 heading into saturday's game! ); Austin Freeman (6'3" junior - 17ppg, 3.6 rebs, 47% 3p%!), Greg Monroe (6'11", 247 lbs?, sophomore - 15.9ppg, 9.4 rebs, 1.6 blocks); 14.1 ppg, 4.0assists, ), ; Jason Clark (6'2" sophmore - 10.3ppg, 3.7 rebs, 43.4% 3p%). Monroe is an NBA draft pick. These guys are real up-and-down and w/ the right matchups, could do some damage in the tourney.

Notre Dame, Sag #50, kenpom offense #2, kenpom defense #198, 7th in conference at 9-8, 20-10
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: W. Virginia, Pitt, Georgetown
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Northwestern, Loyola Marymount!, Cincy, Rutgers!, Seton Hall!, St. John's!
3P% - 40.8%, Reb. Margin = +3.8, FT 72.8%, FG 47.7%, Opp. FG 43.9% –
Luke Harangody (knee injury) may or may not be healthy for the tourney (24.1ppg, 10.0 rebs). They actually play better w/o him as scary as that sounds - knocking off Pitt, Georgetown, AND UConn! Hansbrough (6'3" senior - 12.3ppg, 4.6 assists, 43.3% 3p%), Abromaitis (6'8" junior - 17.1 ppg, 4.8rebs, 46.5% 3p%!), Nash (6'8" junior - 7.9ppg, 5.3 rebs), have all stepped it up. Their defense is laughable... but it's probably better w/o the slow-footed Harangody?!?

Pot Luck!

SEC - Kentucky is an elite team, but it's hard to get a read on the inconsistent play of Vandy and Tennessee.

Kentucky, Sag #4, kenpom offense #20, kenpom defense #12, 1st in conference at 13-2, 28-2
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: UNC, UConn, Louisville, Vandy, Ole Miss, Tennessee (split)
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Tennessee, South Carolina
3P% - 34.6%, Reb. Margin = + 9.1, FT 68.2%, FG 47.8%, Opp. FG 38.2% –
One of 3 teams set for a 1-seed (Kansas and Syracuse are the others). Everyone talks about freshman PG John Wall - 6'4" PG - he's fast as hell w/ the ball or w/o the ball. 17ppg, 6.2 assists, 4 turnovers, but Demarcus Cousins is extremely important (6'11" freshman - 15.9ppg, 10.1rebs, 1.8blocks), as is Patrick Patterson (6'9" junior - 15 ppg, 7.6rebs, 1.3 blocks). Clearly, it's a team that has the horses to go all the way w/ the big men, and the potential #1 NBA pick (Wall).

Vanderbilt, Sag #17, kenpom offense #14, kenpom defense #58, 2ndin conference at 12-3, 23-6
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Arizona, Missouri, Tennessee (twice),
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Kentucky (twice), Cincy, Illinois, W. Kentucky, Georgia
3P% - 36.1%, Reb. Margin = +0.5 , FT 72.3%, FG 47.7%, Opp. FG 40.9% –
Led by 4 scorers in a balanced attack, including 2 3-point shooters. Ogilvy is the big man (6'11" junior) but only gets 6.2 rebs per game. This is an interesting team, but the front line may be a bit soft.

Tennessee, Sag #25, kenpom offense #87, kenpom defense #13, 3rd in conference at 10-5, 22-7
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Kansas, Ole Miss, Kentucky (split)
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Vandy (twice), Purdue, USC, Georgia, Florida
3P% - 32.7%, Reb. Margin =+0.6 , FT 66.4%, FG 46.0%, Opp. FG 39.3% –
Tyler Smith got booted from the team in January... but they've held up since then including beating Kentucky.. They struggle to shoot and score and rely on defense to give them points. Led by Scotty Hopson (6'7" sophomore - 13.1ppg, 3.5rebs, 36% 3p%) and Chism (6'9" junior -12.8ppg, 6.9rebs, 1.5blocks). Most amazingly, they beat Kansas WITHOUT Tyler Smith and with Chism in foul trouble.

Atlantic 10 Conference - ESPN has them slated for 3 locks... with probably Rhode Island also making it! They are one of the benefactors of the 1-bid PAC-10! However, Temple and Xavier are the class of the conference, I'm not certain either team can make it to sweet 16 weekend.

Temple, Sag #22, kenpom offense #95, kenpom defense #5, 1st in conference at 13-2, 25-5
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Siena, Va Tech, Nova, Xavier, Rhode Island (twice)
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Georgetown, St. John's, Kansas (by 30), Charlotte, Richmond
3P% - 33.8%, Reb. Margin = +4.9 , FT 68.7%, FG 43.0%, Opp. FG 38.0% –
I'm not overly impressed w/ this team... they struggle to score and that would seem to be a problem in the tourney! One win at most? They play top-5 defense though. Led by Ryan Brooks (6'4" senior - 14.5 ppg, 4.6rebs, 32% 3p%) , Fernandez (6'4" sophomore -12.4ppg, 3.4assists, 45% 3p%), and Allen (6'9" junior - 11.7ppg, 11.0reb, 1.5blocks).

Xavier, Sag #16, kenpom offense #18, kenpom defense #38, 1st in conference at 13-2, 22-7
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Cincy, Dayton (split), Richmond, Rhode Island
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Marquette, Baylor, Kansas St, Butler, Wake, Temple, Dayton (split)
3P% - 37.5%, Reb. Margin = +5.3 , FT 70.8%, FG 46.8%, Opp. FG 40.6% –
The numbers look good... but they pretty much lost to every NCAA team they faced outside the A-10! Only the Butler and Wake games were close...
Led by Jordan Crawford though (6'4" sophomore - 19.6ppg, 3.0 assists, 4.7rebs, 39.6% 3p%), a big man (Jason Love - 6'9" 265 lbs senior - 11.8ppg, 8.6rebs, 1.6blocks, 59% FG%), and a PG (Holloway - 6'0" sophomore - 11.4ppg, 3.8assists, 31% 3p%). Also have two extra 3-point shooters off the bench. Could be an interesting team maybe?

Richmond, Sag #41, kenpom offense #92, kenpom defense #26, 3rd in conference at 12-3, 23-7
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Missouri, Old Dominion, Florida, Temple, Rhode Island, Dayton
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: William & Mary!, VCU, So Carolina, Wake, St Louis, Charlotte, Xavier
3P% - 34.8%, Reb. Margin = -5.3 , FT 69.9%, FG 44.6%, Opp. FG 38.8% –
Everyone shoots 3s on this team... just not well! They have the worst rebounding advantage out of any team... they seemed to have done well in conference play at least... led by Kevin Anderson (6'0" junior - 17.6ppg, 32.6% 3p%) and David Gonzalez (6'4" senior guard -13.8ppg, 36% 3p%).

Rhode Island, Sag #54, kenpom offense #27, kenpom defense #140, 5th in conference at 9-6, 21-7
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Ok St, Dayton,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: VCU, Temple (twice), Xavier, Richmond, St. Louis, St. Bonaventure
3P% - 33.0%, Reb. Margin = -1.5 , FT 71.3%, FG 45.5%, Opp. FG 38.8% –
Losers of 4 of 6 entering last game... led by 2 scorers who shoot awful from 3-point land... can't play defense or rebound... i'm not wasting anymore words on them.

Mountain West Conference - maybe slightly below the A-10, but they have 3 solid NCAA teams here! The back end of the conference is terrible. New Mexico gets all the headlines based on sweeping BYU... but BYU's profile is amazing and might be the more dangerous team.

New Mexico, Sag #23, kenpom offense #23, kenpom defense #73, 1st in conference at 14-2, 28-3
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Dayton, BYU (twice), UNLV (split), San Diego st (split)
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Oral Roberts!, San Diego St, UNLV
3P% - 37.9%, Reb. Margin = +5.9 , FT 66.8%, FG 44.0%, Opp. FG 42.1% –
An incredible record, and the team tends to win all the close games. They don't know how to play defense, but they are in line to be a very high-seed as of now (Stewart Mandel has them in his top-5!). I think their lack of defense will be a problem. Sweet 16 is best-case scenario, one-win most likely scenario. Led by Hobson (6'7" junior -15.8ppg, 4.6assists, 9.1 rebs, 38% 3P%), Martinez (6'6" senior - 14.1 ppg, 6.3 rebs, 43% 3p%) and another PG Dairese Gary (6'1" junior - 12.4ppg, 4.0 assists, 1.7TOs)

BYU, Sag #9, kenpom offense #12, kenpom defense #14, 2nd in conference at 12-3, 27-4
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Arizona, Arizona St, UNLV (split), San Diego (Twice),
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Utah St, New Mexico (twice), UNLV (split)
3P% - 41.5%, Reb. Margin = +5.3 , FT 77.7%, FG 48.4%, Opp. FG 39.7% –
This team's numbers are great. Haven't played any super teams this year, but they shoot 3s, rebound well, and play great defense. Top-15 in both offense and defense in KenPom means they are very balanced and dangerous.
Led by Jimmer Fredette (6'2" junior - 20.7ppg, 4.7assists, 47.8% 3p%), two other 3-point shooters, and 4 guys who all get 5 rebounds per game, this is a sleeper team I really like!

UNLV, Sag #38, kenpom offense #36, kenpom defense #39, 3rd in conference at 10-5, 22-7
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Louisville, Arizona, New Mexico (twice0, BYU (split), San Diego (split)
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Kansas St, USC< Utah (twice?!?),
3P% - 33.1%, Reb. Margin = -0.7 , FT 72.0%, FG 46.2%, Opp. FG 39.9% –
They don't rebound well or shoot well, but play defense. They still need help to make the tourneys and/or a deep run in the Mtn West. Led by Tre'Von Willis (6'4" junior -17.6ppg, 3.5assists, 3.9rebs, 29.9% 3p%), PG is Oscar Bellfield (6'2" sophomore - 9.3ppg, 4.5 assists, 38.7% 3p%).

San Diego State, Sag #48, kenpom offense #50, kenpom defense #52, 4th in conference at 10-5, 21-8
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Arizona, New Mexico (splilt), UNLV (split),
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: BYU (twice), St. Mary's, Pacific, Wyoming,
3P% - 31.6%, Reb. Margin =+7.0 , FT 61.0%, FG 47.4%, Opp. FG 40.3% –
Balanced scoring from 4 players, superb defense and a rebounding advnatage is how they win. The top 4 guys are (6'7" freshman, 6'9" junior, 6'0" junior, and a 6'8"junior). So... if t his team makes it, it will depend on the matchup because they are a big team... and they also can't shoot free throws!

Randoms...
Butler has a bona fide NBA prospect and Gonzaga has yet another solid team.

Butler, Sag #28, kenpom offense #59, kenpom defense #25, 1st in conference at 18-0, 26-4
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Northwestern, Ohio St (w/o Evan Turner), Xavier,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Minnesota, Clemson (by one), Georgetown, UAB
3P% - 34.1%, Reb. Margin = +3.9, FT 74.7%, FG 45.0%, Opp. FG 41.8% –
No real marquee win, outside of Xavier. The Horizon stinks this year, so I don't know if you should trust these guys at all.
Gordon Hayward is the leader (6'9" sophomore - 15.8ppg, 8.5 rebs, 30.2% 3p%), but Mack is sharpshooter (6'3" sophomore - 13.9ppg, 3.2 assists, 37% 3p%). Notably Hayward is supposed to a late 1st round pick this summer.

Northern Iowa, Sag #37, kenpom offense #94, kenpom defense #19, 1st in conference at 15-3, 26-4
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Boston College, Iowa St, Siena,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: DePaul, Wichita St, Bradley, Evansville
3P% - 34.8%, Reb. Margin = +3.4 , FT 75.4%, FG 43.3%, Opp. FG 40.8% –
Played a very soft schedule... aren't a great offensive team. Eesh.
3 players lead the way (Koch - 12.3 ppg, 4.9 rebs, 37.1% 3p%), Eglseder (12.1ppg, 7.5rebs, ) and an INEFFICIENT PG (Ahelegbe - 10.4 ppg, 2.8assits, 3.1 TURNOVERS, 39% fg%). I don't like this team.

Gonzaga, Sag #30, kenpom offense #42, kenpom defense #61, 1st in conference at 12-2, 25-5
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Wisconsin, Cincy, Oklahoma,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Mich St (by 4), Wake (by 2), Duke (by 30!), San Fran, Loyola Marymount
3P% - 36.2%, Reb. Margin = +5.1 , FT 66.3%, FG 49.5%, Opp. FG 40.3% –
Wisconsin win is marquee...
4 players lead way for a team that was supposed to have a "down" year... Matt Bouldin (6'5" senior - 16ppg, 4.7 rebs, 4.1 assists, 37.7% 3p%), Elias Harris (6'7" freshman - 14.9ppg, 7.4 rebs, ), Steven Gray (6'5" junior - 13.5 ppg, 2.6 assists, 4.1 rebs), and Robert Sacre (7'0" sophomore - 10.2ppg, 1.9blocks, 5.3 rebs)

Old Dominion, Sag #39, kenpom offense #73, kenpom defense #23, 1st in conference at 15-3, 23-8
Non-conference wins & key conference wins: Georgetown,
Non-conference losses & key conference losses: Missouri, Miss St, Richmond, Dayton, George Mason, Northeastern (yuck), VCU, No. Iowa
3P% - 31.4%, Reb. Margin = +7.9 , FT 64.2%, FG 44.8%, Opp. FG 40.2% –
They can't shoot... but their rebounding keeps them in games. Not one 3-point shooter on team. odds of winning a game in tourney... low. Gerald Lee leads way (6'10" senior - 14.1 ppg, 5.1 rebs)