Thursday, October 28, 2010

College Football Trend Watching : Week 7

What You Know (A Summary of the Previous Week)
I'm an idiot. I put it big letters Mizzou could knock off OU and that #1 could go down 3 straight weeks. And yet I ignored the warning signs and had OU in the BCS Championship Game. Well Mizzou won and I missed the signs. I suck. Kirk Ferentz pulled a Les Miles and doomed Iowa v. Wisconsin. Auburn's O is for real. MSU loves it's fake punts. The Orangemen are back (well they beat West Virginia)

What You Might Have Missed (Under the Radar Stories)
  • Outside of FSU, not a single ACC or Big East Team has fewer than 2 losses. Pitt is the only Big East team undefeated in league play (and they've only played at max 3 games). It's been a down year for great teams in College Football which I suppose translates into Big East/ACC terms as a bad year for mediocre teams because wow...they two conferences suck.
  • Virginia Tech left for dead after an 0-2 start has won 6 straight and sits 4-0 in conference play. However only 1 of the teams they've beaten during this streak has a winning record. That stops this week as Tech plays (theoretically) the heart of the Coastal Division err teams with winning records (Miami, UNC, G-Tech). What that means? V-Tech with a few more wins could be in a BCS bowl and get another disappointing 10 win season.
  • Baylor (who incidentally was beaten by TCU) stands atop the Big 12 South Division with a 3-1 record. Yes you read that right - first place Baylor. How'd they pull it off? Well by not playing anyone. In the next 4 weeks Baylor faces Texas, T Boone Pickens University (Ok State), A&M, and Oklahoma. So don't expect Baylor to last. But how often do I get to type first place Baylor ?

Looking Ahead (Games of the Week)
#2 Oregon @ USC - Basically USC's bowl game. Monte Kiffin has struggled versus spread offenses. (strange but true)
# 5 MSU @ #18 Iowa - MSU's last major roadblock to the Rose Bowl and possibly the national championship
#6 Missouri @ #14 Nebraska - Winner will win the Big 12 North. Unlike MSU, if Mizzou wins they still have another tough game in the Big 12 Championship (sponsored by Snapple)

Prediction Time 10/28
Please note if it comes to a 3 way tie in the Big 10 , BCS ranking is final tie breaker (same as the Big 12). So a late loss by MSU should open the door for tOSU or Wisconsin.

BCS Championship: Oregon v. Auburn
Orange Bowl : FSU v. Oklahoma
Sugar Bowl: Alabama v. Wisconsin
Fiesta: Pittsburgh v. Nebraska
Rose Bowl: Boise State v. Michigan State

Sexy Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle will remember Mighty's predictions


MJ said...

Worst Rose Bowl ever. If it ain't Big 10 vs. Pac-10, I don't want to watch.

We are all Spartans.

Mighty Mike said...

I can't remember if I brought it up before but this year if a Pac 10 or Big 10 make the Championship game the Rose Bowl must fill it with a Non-BCS school (that's eligible).

Hitman said...

" If it ain't Big 10 vs. Pac-10, I don't want to watch."

Amen! For different reasons though.

"We are all Spartans."

Er, no. You lost me there.

Mikey - really? That doesn't seem right. I know that there are certain circumstances when a non-BCS school is eligible, and others when that same school gets an automatic berth. But I've never heard that a given bowl game absolutely must use whatever selection it has on any school except the ones that come from its conference tie-ins. Can you verify your comment?

Mighty Mike said...

strange but true - see above post for verification