Tuesday, November 06, 2007

Skynet Championship Series: Week 4

Most underrated by the humans: Virginia, Arizona State
Most overrated by the humans: Oklahoma, West Virginia, Hawaii

Amazingly, the top 4 this week are the same in both Skynet and the computers! I really was surprised, because I thought Oregon would be #2.

Once again, I’ve discovered that I do not like the strength of schedule that I included. The one from Anderson & Hester that I was using just fluctuated too much from week to week. Instead, I’m now going to include the “Colley Matrix” strength of schedule and his conference rankings. He has a 23-page paper written on his method, which I don’t feel like reading at this moment, but it sounded good and included mathematical formulas.

Please take the conference rankings with a grain of salt, as I have realized that each of the 4 computers have very different rankings for the 6 BSC Conferences...

2007 - Week of 11/5
.........................SCS........BCS.....Sched Rnk
1. Ohio St.......0.67......(1)...(80)
2. LSU............1.89......(2)...(6)
3. Oregon.......2.61......(3)...(12)
4. Kansas.......3.06......(4)...(104)
5. Ariz St........4.43......(9)...(40)
6. Boston Col....5.38......(8)...(35)
7. Missouri......7.01......(6)...(82)
8. Oklahoma...7.14.......(5)...(69)
9. Georgia......10.57....(10)...(21)
10. UConn......10.66...(13)...(72)
11. W. Va.........11.19....(7)...(81)
12. Va. Tech....11.45....(11)...(30)
13. Virginia......13.05......(19)...(41)
14. Michigan.....13.52...(12)...(50)
15. Florida........13.96....(15)...(1)
16. Texas.........16.12....(14)...(74)
17. Auburn.......16.35.....(18)...(23)
18. USC............16.89.....(17)...(83)
19. Boise St......17.02.....(20)...(112)
20. Hawaii........18.60....(16)...(128)

Conference Rankings
............Matrix....Sagarin..Anderson..Wolfe
SEC...........1........1........1........1
PAC-10......2........4........2........4
Big-10.......3........6........6........6
Big East.....4........2........4........5
Big 12........5........3........5........3
ACC...........6........5........3........2

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