Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Skynet Championship Series: Season Four

I can't believe it's the 4th season that I've been doing this...

Skynet is back! A wise machine, Agent Smith, once said in the Matrix: “Never send a Human to do a machine’s job.” These inspiring words ring true with the BCS. The time has now come to achieve the BCS purpose – by providing OBJECTIVE rankings. I realize this may be counter to my rooting interests, but it is the only fair way to determine two teams.

So, to be clear, here’s how I devise the standings each week:
1) I take the top 20 of the BCS standings.
2) I input each of the top 20's computer standings from each computer ranking.
3) I let excel calculate the standard deviation for each computer ranking distribution of the top 20. Then, Excel normalizes the distribution, and fits EACH computer ranking onto a 1-20 scale.
4) Finally, the normalized-computer averages are determined (i.e. Florida is ranked 5.76, 2.55, 2.21, 5.77 in 4 of the polls, which is an average of 4.07, which equals their SCS ranking. This means that according to the polls, they are approximately the 4th-best team in the country).

I know it took a couple of days, but the latest Skynet rankings shook me to the core...

Iowa is #2 (because Penn State, Wisconsin, and Arizona are all in the top-20 in the computer rankings)
Ohio State is awful (actually, that wasn't that shocking)
USC is #13 (the computers are punishing them severely for that Washington loss)

Of course, there is a long time until the end of the season though. And remember, these are not my rankings, they are the rankings of the only objective entity in the universe... Skynet!

2009 Skynet Rankings - Week of 10/19

2009
SCS BCS Sched Rnk
1 florida 1.11 1 33
2 iowa 1.34 6 13
3 alabama 1.61 2 45
4 cincy 3.62 5 83
5 boise st 4.91 4 90
6 texas 6.62 3 52
7 lsu 7.02 9 22
8 tcu 7.44 8 92
9 oregon 8.13 11 23
10 geo tech 8.50 12 32
11 va. Tech 10.20 14 2
12 miami (fl) 10.63 10 34
13 usc 11.27 7 40
14 utah 15.78 18 111
15 pitt 15.92 20 69
16 houston 16.22 17 75
17 penn st 16.83 13 91
18 ok st 17.73 15 86
19 byu 18.05 16 123
20 ohio st 18.30 19 43

No comments: