Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Week 6: College Football Trend Watching

Another week and a little more certainty in the college football world...so who are my big winners and losers of the week.....

UP

  • Nebraska - I was a little worried when I penciled in Nebraska for the last BCS spot that they'd drop the ball against Mizzou. However in a rain-soaked game the Cornhuskers hung tough. With its only tough games being Texas Tech and OU at home and KU on the road Nebraska only needs to win 2 out 3 and I think a BCS bid is theirs.
  • V-Tech - While an opening season crushing loss to Alabama hangs over their head, Tyrod Taylor is finally coming into his own (300 yards passing for the first time) and V-Tech keeps on rolling. Only G-Tech really stands in their way of another ACC Championship
  • Florida - Nothing is stopping UF from going to the SEC Championship Game

Down

  • Georgia - Georgia hasn't had less than 9 wins since 2001 - in other words its been the model of consistency. However this year the bottom seems to have dropped out. The defense got torched by Tennessee and UGA still has games against Florida, Auburn and G-Tech. Mark Richt will need to make some coaching changes
  • Mississippi - Talk about self-immolation. A team with a supposed great QB, a lot of returning starters, yadda yadda yadda. Ole Miss is a wonderful example of why rankings shouldn't be based on last year.

Open Admission of Uncertanity
What happens if Texas loses? Normally its total chaos but this year it feels like the pickings are slim. The Big 10 and Big East don't seem to register on the national radar, there's no other Big 12 team to tak the baton, V-Tech had the bad loss to 'Bama, and both Pac 10 teams (USC and Oregon) have suffered bad losses. Could it be an all SEC BCS Championship? Shudder shudder

Games of the Week
OU v. Texas (Red River Classic)
Cincinnati v. South Florida - (winner will probably win Big East)
USC at Notre Dame
Iowa at Wisconsin


Bowl Predictions

(unchanged...finally)
BCS Championship: Alabama over Texas
Orange Bowl : Virginia Tech over Boise State
Sugar Bowl: Florida over Cincinnati
Fiesta: Miami (FL) over Nebraska
Rose Bowl: USC over Penn State

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