Monday, November 20, 2006

Skynet Championship Series: Part Deux

As promised, I will continue to post Skynet’s rankings. I’m neither endorsing nor condemning Skynet. I just think its interesting to see what Skynet says.

I’ve already had multiple mistakes and overlooks since last week’s rankings were published. Just to be clear, here’s the process of how I’m calculating Skynet Championship Series Rankings, for better or for worse:
1) I’m down to 4 polls, because another computer poll starts with ranking the teams 1-117, which is just absurd.
2) I take the top 15, and I let excel calculate the standard deviation. Then, Excel normalizes the distribution, and fits EACH computer score onto a 1-15 scale.
3) Finally, the normalized-computer averages are determined (i.e. Florida is ranked 5.76, 2.55, 2.21, 5.77, which is an average of 4.07) . The computer averages are added into the losses, and the strength of schedule. NOTE: Last week, I was trying to adjust for the strange, "abnormal" distributions near the top of the rankings, but it was just a big waste of time, so I'm no longer doing that.

Skynet Championship Series - Week of 11/20
Team SCS BCS
1 OSU 1.18 (1)
2 Mich 1.99 (2)
3 USC 3.05 (3)
4 notre d 6.23 (5)
5 Fla. 6.51 (4)
6 louisville 8.24 (9)
7 ark. 10.66 (6)
8 W. Va. 12.33 (7)
9 rutgers 13.50 (14)
10 wisc 13.52 (8)
11 auburn 14.68 (12)
12 LSU 15.02 (10)
13 boise st 15.52 (11)
14 texas 17.51 (13)
15 okl 18.02 (15)

if you wanted to compare to last week's, here's the correct version:

Skynet - Week of 11/13
Team SCS BCS
1 mich 1.23 (2)
2 OSU 3.10 (1)
3 rutgers 3.54 (6)
4 USC 4.75 (3)
5 notre d 5.17 (5)
6 Fla. 6.42 (4)
7 louisv 7.75 (10)
8 wisc 11.40 (9)
9 arkans 13.53 (7)
10 cal 14.79 (15)
11 W. Va. 14.72 (8)
12 boise st 14.80 (12)
13 LSU 16.97 (11)
14 auburn 17.04 (14)
15 texas 17.86 (13)

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